Good post and good point.
It is fair to make an initial impression on probability until better data is available. That is sound reasoning, and essential.
However, when better data comes in, one needs to replace the older, lower-quality, data with the new data.
So you don't believe that this initial impression could taint a man's perception of everything the woman says in that first meeting. I have only dated men I already knew so I don't know what first date conversations are supposed to go but say he asked what I did that day and I said marathon shopping. Should I believe he thinks I was spending my ex's money?
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